NFL Mocks Picks Games Vs the Point Spread Week 14

I’ve had two winning weeks in a row, which if I say so myself is impressive because I don’t cherry pick games. I give picks to all the games. A few of the teams I’ve been riding to my winning record (over the last two weeks) are the Broncos, Titans, and Panthers.

I love the Panthers as underdogs, especially any sizeable amount. The Titans are better than people think, but they are starting to catch on so I might have to find a different route. And people are flabergasted about how the Broncos continue to win, but they do so. With all the Tebow haters out there the lines have stayed pretty favorable for the Broncos I think.

I’m too close to the Giants and they never do what they should do so I hate picking them as well.

Updated 11/8/2011

Steelers Browns pick locked in. Lines updated for Thursday Morning

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
12/11 1:00 ET At Baltimore -16.5 Indianapolis
12/11 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -3 Houston
12/11 4:15 ET At Green Bay -11.5 Oakland
12/11 1:00 ET At NY Jets -10.5 Kansas City
12/11 1:00 ET At Detroit -10 Minnesota
12/11 1:00 ET New Orleans -3.5 At Tennessee
12/11 1:00 ET At Miami -3 Philadelphia
12/11 1:00 ET New England -8 At Washington
12/11 1:00 ET Atlanta -3 At Carolina
12/11 1:00 ET Tampa Bay -2.5 At Jacksonville
12/11 4:05 ET San Francisco -4 At Arizona
12/11 4:05 ET At Denver -3.5 Chicago
12/11 4:15 ET At San Diego -7 Buffalo
12/11 8:30 ET At Dallas -3.5 NY Giants

Monday Night Football Point Spread

12/12 8:35 ET At Seattle -9.5 St. Louis

Browns at Steelers

The Browns will be traveling out to Pittsburgh, who is heating up a bit. I think with the playoffs in sight the Steeelrs will continue to ratched it up a bit. I feel comftorable taking the Steelers in double digits here depending on where the line goes we’ll see what the pick is
The line got a little too high for my liking. I’m going to take the Browns to stay within 14 points, I know that a lot of bad teams this time of year fold, but Colt McCoy could be playing for his future so I expect him to try hard, plus I don’t like giving so many points in a division rivalry game. With both Big Ben and Antonio Brown on my fantasy team I’m hoping for a lot of points so the Steelers will keep throwing! Browns to cover the 14 points.

Patriots at Redskins

I have a theory about the Jets. The Jets talk so much that they annoy everyone and get everyone’s best shot. The Patriots on the other hand go about their own business and just win games. The Patriots will also run up scores, the Redskins have been playing much better the last few weeks, but Fred Davis and Trent Williams are likely to be suspended and the Patriots should be able to move thh ball on the Redskins pretty good defense.

I’ll be comftorable taking the Patriots as heavy favorites here as well.

Patriots are -8 at Washington. I like the Patriots here

The Chiefs at Jets

The Chiefs offense is awful. If Kyle Orton can’t play I’m not taking the Chiefs for anything less than two touchdowns. They just don’t match up well with the Jets. I think the Jets are going to luck into the playoffs again this year. Tim Tebow just wins games, but somehow so does Mark Sanchez. It’s really remarkable.

I like the chiefs here. Two offenses taht can’t score points with plus defenses lends itself to a low scoring game. Plus like I said the Jets annoy people so they always get every team’s A effort.

Colts at Ravens

The Colts have some pride which is why I felt very comftorable taking them as 21 point underdogs against the Patriots, but if it’s like 14 points I’ll be taking the Ravens. Ray Rice is going to give the Colts more than they can handle. Dan Orlosky had a big game against the Patriots, but the Ravens defense is a class up above the Patriots defense.

The Ravens haven’t been at their best against inferior competition this year, and the Colts can’t stop the run. I’m not sure where to go here. I’m going to take the Colts. No team wants to go 0-16. I think they’ll play very hard the rest of the year, even though they probably won’t win any games.

Falcons at Panthers

The Falcons really need this game to stay in the playoff hunt and Cam Newton as the Panthers playing hard. I think the Falcons should win the game, but I’ve taken the Panthers as underdogs almost every single time they were underdogs this season and it’s worked out well for me. If the line is anything like the Falcons at -5 I’ll be picking the Panthers who I think have a decent shot of winning this game. If the Falcons are minus three that’s going to be a little tougher decision for me.

I was hoping for another two points to take the Panthers at +5, but I’ll take the Falcons at -3. They really need this game.

Buccaneers at Jaguars

oh what a terrible non-divisional game that is. No idea what to do here. I’ll probably favor the Buccaneers, but yuck, especially if they are getting any points.

Tampa Bay is -2.5 at the Jaguars. I really have no feel for this game. I’ve been wrong on Tampa Bay a lot this year. I think they are better than the Jaguars though so I’ll take the Buccaneers to win by at least a field goal.

Saints at Titans

This is an intriguing game for me. The Titans have a young defense that is improving and Chris Johnson is heating up. The Saints beat down everyone, but away from home I like the Titans to cover anything higher than 7. I keep saying I won’t pick the Titans again because of how inconsistent they have been, but every week I get suckered in by their allure.

I don’t know why and I’m probably the only one, but I’m going to take the Titans to stay within a field goal. The Saints aren’t nearly as good on the road as they are at home. The Titans could run and control the clock and hopefully keep Saints off the field. I don’t advise you to pick this game though.

Eagles at Dolphins

The Eagles have nothing to play for but pride. The Dolphins are really playing hard lately. I can’t see the Dolphins losing this game unless the Eagles really step it up. I think the Eagles will play hard against the Cowboys later in the year and probably the Jets as well, but will they get up for the lowly Dolphins?

Miami is the favorite by three points. Vick is coming back and I’m hoping the Eagles want to finish the season strong and the could definitely beat the Dolphins if they are on the game. Then again though I could see the Dolphins running it right down the Eagles throat early and the Eagles not making any attempt at coming back. I’ll take the underdogs here. They are getting three points I can easily see them staying within three.

Vikings at Lions

Vikings had an offensive explosion on Sunday against the Broncos defense and the Lions will again be without Mr. Suhso this is a tough call. I think the Lions will desperately try to win this game because they are clinging on for dear live for the playoffs (assuming they lose to the Saints here: down 24 to 17 at the start of the fourth quarter). But I can’t trust them big, especially if Adrian Peterson is going to play. The Vikings aren’t great, but they are playing really hard for their rookie quarterback Christian Ponder and Jared Allen could wreck the game by himself.

49ers at Cardinals

The Cardinals have kept a lot of teams close and I wouldn’t expect anything different here against the 49ers who are coming off a beat down of the St. Louis Rams. Still the 49ers should be favored even though they are in Arizona. I’d fell pretty good about Arizona if they are getting four or more points.

San Francisco is only +4 against the Cardinals in Arizona. The 49ers need this game, if they keep winning they will end up with the second seed. I’ll take the 49ers to win by more than 4 points in Arizona.

Bears at Broncos

I can’t envision any scenario in which the Bears win this game especially if Von Miller is healthy. The Bears looked terrible against the Chiefs at home, they are not going out to Denver and winning this game without Cutler and Forte.

Because teams get three points for being home the line is saying that the Broncos (.-5) are only three points better than the Bears without Cutler and Matt Forte. I think the Broncos are better than that. This is one of the most interesting games of the week to me. The Bears defense is one of the league’s best and I’m really interested in seeing how they play Tim Tebow and the Broncos read option offense.

Raiders at Packers

I pick the Raiders a lot because I’m an idiot. They are so disappointing. They can’t travel well or something. The Raiders are letting the playoffs slipping through their hand. If the Packers aren’t playing the Giants they cover the spread no matter how large. That’s probably the way I’ll look at it this week on top of that the Packers have been awe-inspiring at home.

The Packers are 11.5 points at home against the Raiders, but I think the Raiders run the ball too well for me to feel comftorable with a 11.5 point spread. I’ll take the Raiders to cover the spread.

Bills at Chargers

This game is intriguing to me. I think the Bills actually match up well with the Chargers who have struggle to cover anybody. ON top of that the Bills have the potential to make big time plays on special teams. The Bills also struggle against the run and the Chargers run the ball well, but get away from it a lot too. I’ll have to see the line. I’m not sure I’d pick the Bills to lose by less than three, but if they are plus 5 or so I like them a lot.

The Chargers are getting 7 points against the Chargers, but in all honesty I think the Bills have a shot at winning this game. This line is way too much for me. The Chargers don’t have the kind of offense or defense that can give the Bills problems.

Bills to cover the spread and I’ll go out on a limb and call for the upset.

Giants at Cowboys

if the Giants play the same way they did against the Packers they should beat the Cowboys. If they play the same way they did against the Eagles and saints they could lose handily. I have no idea what to think of this game. I’ll have to watch the injury report throughout the week.My gut feeling is the game will be very close.

The Cowboys are favored by 3.5. I want to pick the Cowboys here because so many people are on the Giants, but the .5 point is too much for me. The Giants could win this game outright, I don’t have the over listed but I’d probably take the over too.

Rams at Seahawks

the question isn’t whether or not the Seahawks should win this game. It’s how many points are you willing to give Tavaris Jackson? The Seahawks should be able to run a lot on the Rams though and I think I like them to beat the Rams by 7 points, but would i be willing to give them more

Seahakws are favored by 9.5 and that seems like an awful lot, but other than the game against the Saints I don’t know how many spreads the Rams have covered. They are pretty awful.

Seahawks to win by more than 9.5.

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