Jesse, Reggie, and Will Pick All Games vs the Spread, and Lock of the week Week 11
This week is one of the final weeks before the schedule gets heavy on division rivalries. It started off with a bang with Tim Tebow’s 95 yard game winning drive against the Jets which put the Broncos chance of making the playoffs at a much higher percentage before the week and the Jets at a lower percentage. There are a few teams that really need wins today if they want to make the playoffs, the Bills MUST come out and beat Miami, the Giants have to end the Eagles season, and the Titans Falcons games will have huge implications on the A.F.C. wild card game.
Let’s see if we an pick some winners.
I haven’t had time to go back and tally up the wins and losses from last week because I was so busy working on scouting reports (now up to 120+ scouting reports on our scouting report page). Though I’m pretty sure I had another good week, nailing two locks of the week last week (the Giants and the Texans) I really should just pick five games I love and pad my record because I’ve done well with my locks (only lost three and have offered multiple locks in multiple weeks) and the games I feel good about, but I do ’em all because I’m a glutton for punishment and it always costs me.
The spreads come from Football locks and they are from yesterday
Date & TimeFavoriteSpreadUnderdog
11/20 4:15 ETAt Atlanta-6Tennessee
11/20 1:00 ETAt Miami-2Buffalo
11/20 1:00 ETAt Baltimore-7Cincinnati
11/20 1:00 ETAt Cleveland-1Jacksonville
11/20 1:00 ETAt Minnesota PKOakland
11/20 1:00 ETAt Detroit-7Carolina
11/20 1:00 ETAt Green Bay-14Tampa Bay
11/20 1:00 ETDallas-7At Washington
11/20 4:05 ETAt San Francisco-10Arizona
11/20 4:05 ETAt St. Louis-3Seattle
11/20 4:15 ETAt Chicago-3.5San Diego
11/20 8:30 ETAt NY Giants-5Philadelphia
Monday Night Football Point Spread
11/21 8:35 ETAt New England-15Kansas City
Will’s picks
DENVER (+6)ATLANTA (-6)Buffalo (+2)BALTIMORE (-7)CLEVELAND (-1)Oakland (-1)Carolina (+7)GREEN BAY (-14)Dallas (-7.5)SAN FRANCISCO (-9.5)Seattle (+2)San Diego (+3.5)GIANTS (-4)Kansas City (+15
Reggie’s picks:
Spread Winners
Mia Mia
Cin Bal
Cle Cle
Oak Oak
Det Det
GB GB
Dal DAl
Arz SF
Stl Stl
Atl Atl
SD SD
Phi NYG
NE NE
Jesse’s picks:
Last week I wrote “and this is the last time that I bank on the Titans” well, guess I lied. The Falcons are favored by 6 points here. Chris Johnson is heating up and the Titans and Falcons are BOTH average football teams and both teams really need this game to compete for the playoffs down the stretch. I have no doubt the Falcons will win, but I’ll take the Titans to cover the 6 points
The Dolphins are 2 point favorites vs the Bills. The Bills entered the season with a fairly talented roster that lacked depth, and what has happened is they have playwed well, but aren’t able to overcome their lack of depth. The Bills should have lost 13 games this year again and drafted Matt Barkley instead they are stuck with an average Fitzpatrick moving forward. Still, the Dolphins are absolutely terrible at home for whatever reason and shouldn’t be favored vs the Bills. The Bills really need this game and should play well. I’ll take the Bills in a mild upset.
The Ravens are huge home favorites vs the Bengals. The Ravens are impossible to get a good read on they play well vs good competition and terrible vs bad competition. 7 point sis a lot and even though the loss of Leon Hall and the likely absence of A.J. Green for the game will challenge the Bengals depth at cornerback and WR I think their defense is good enough to stay within 7. Bengals to cover the spread
Cleveland is a one point favorite at home vs Jacksonville. What a terrible game. I guess I’ll take the Browns to win by more than one because McCoy sucks less than Gabbert does
Oakland is a pick ’em at Minnesota. I’m going to take Oakland who has something to play for vs the Vikings who are just talented, but cruising along. It’s amazing how well Jared Allen has played this year especially considering the lopsided score some of the Vikings have been apart of, but I think the Raiders will stack the line of the scrimmage and dare the Vikings to beat them deep, which they don’t have the weapons to do yet. I’ll take the Raiders even without the talented Darren Mcfadden
I’ve said this all year. I love the Panthers as big underdogs and that’s the situation they are in here on Sunday. The Lions really need this game with how well the Bears are playing, but the Panthers are just a team that is dangerous enough to scare you, but not good enough to win. I’ll take the Panthers to cover the 7 point spread
Tampa Bay is +14 at Green Bay. Whew doggies that’ a big spread, but the Freeman led Buccaneers have played poorly in multiple games this year. They lack playmakers on both sides of the ball. I think the Packers will cover the 14 point spread as they continue to chug along.
Dallas is -7 at Washington, but Washington is awful. I wouldn’t touch this game with a ten foot pole because Rex Grossman is at quarterback and Rex Grossman is the girl with the curls. Very, very good or very very bad. If Good Rex shows up (and it’s possible, it’s happened a lot) the Redskins could scare the Cowboys. Don’t touch this game, but since I have to pick it Cowboys to win by more than 7.
San Francisco are 10 point favorites at home vs the Cardinals. The Cardinals have put a lot of scares into teams this year (minnesota excluded) vs some good teams, the Giants, the Ravens, and they beat the Eagles. I don’t think the 49ers have the kind offense where I’m willing to give a 10 point cushion. I’ll take the Cardinals to cover the 10 as the 49ers are coming down off a huge emotional win vs the Giants.
Seattle is getting three points at St. Louis in the second worst game of the day (jacksonville vs Cleveland will see much worse quarterback play and just pitiful offenses). I think Seattle is the better team so I’m going to call for the mild upset here. Seattle is going to continue to win just enough games to not pick high enough to land the quarterback of their choice.
Woefully inconsistent San Diego is traveling to Chicago to play in the coveted 4:15 time slot. They are getting 3.5 points. No idea about this game I get San Diego wrong every week. I feel like I should pick Chicago here, which is why I’m going to take San Diego to cover the 3.5 points.
The New York Giants are 5 point favorites at home vs the Philadelphia Eagles who are Vick and Maclin less. As a Giants fan I fully expect them to come out and lose this game to backup quarterback Vince Young. I hate the Giants as favorites, I’ll take the Eagles +5 and hope the Giants can come out and wallop the Eagles like they should, but won’t.
New England is -15 points against the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are pitiful they have shown no life most of the season at home, how are they going to get up and play the Patriots on the road with Tyler Palko at quarterback? They’re not. Take the Patriots, who have no defense to cover the 15.
Lock of the week:
No game jumps out to me here like the two did last week, but I’ll take the Cardinals to cover the 10 points vs San Francisco
There are a few reasons I hate taking this pick: One I hate taking road dogs to cove the spread. Two the Cardinals are woefully inconsistent and could come out and lay a stinker without blinking an eye.
But there’s one reason I love this game: division rivalry games are often closer than they should be and the 49ers dont ‘have a great offense. If the Cardinals can score 14 points vs the 49ers (whether that be a Patrick Peterson punt return or a Larry Fitzgerald touchdown parade) they can cover that spread.