NFL Picks Week 4 vs the Spread

Through three weeks we’re all about .500 which means that the Vegas spreads are doing their job. We have picked games straight out and vs the spread, but I”m only keeping track of the games vs the spread. Maybe eventually I’ll tally the overall season records. also I’ve been giving a lock of the week every week. So far I’m 3-0 on that bad boy.

Week 1:

Reggie 7-9

Will 5-11

Jesse-8-8

Week 2

Reggie: 8-8

Will: huge week 11-5

Jesse-Bad week 6-10

Week 3

Reggie: 10-6

Will 6-10

Jesse: 10-6

For the season

Reggie: 25-23

Will: 22-26

Jesse: 24-24

Jesse’s lock of the week: 3-0

Week 4:

Because we did this through email We used the opening spreads.

Date & Time	Favorite	Line	Underdog	Total
10/2 1:00 ET	At Dallas	-2.5	Detroit	47
10/2 1:00 ET	New Orleans	-7	At Jacksonville	46.5
10/2 1:00 ET	At Philadelphia	-7	San Francisco	41.5
10/2 1:00 ET	At St. Louis	PK	Washington	44.5
10/2 1:00 ET	At Cleveland	-1	Tennessee	37.5
10/2 1:00 ET	Buffalo	-3	At Cincinnati	44
10/2 1:00 ET	Minnesota	-1.5	At Kansas City	40
10/2 1:00 ET	At Chicago	-6.5	Carolina	44
10/2 1:00 ET	At Houston	-4	Pittsburgh	45
10/2 4:05 ET	Atlanta	-4.5	At Seattle	41
10/2 4:05 ET	NY Giants	-1.5	At Arizona	44.5
10/2 4:15 ET	At San Diego	-7.5	Miami	46
10/2 4:15 ET	At Green Bay	-13	Denver	47
10/2 4:15 ET	New England	-4.5	At Oakland	53.5
10/2 8:25 ET	At Baltimore	-3.5	NY Jets	40

Monday Night Football Line


10/3 8:35 ET	At Tampa Bay	-10	Indianapolis	41.5

Reggie’s picks week 4

Winner                    Spread
Lions                        Lions
Saints                        Saints
Phi                            Phi
Rams                        Rams
Cle                            CLe
Cinc                            Cinc
Min                            Min
Chi                            CAr
Pit                                Pit
Atl                            Atl
NYG                            NYG
SD                                Mia
GB                                GB
NE                                NE
Bal                                NYJ
TB                                IND

Will’s picks:

Detroit (+2.5)

New Orleans (-7

)PHILLY (-7)

St. LOUIS (PK)

Tennessee (+1)

Buffalo (-3)

KANSAS CITY (+1.5)

CHICAGO (-6.5)

Pittsburgh (+4)

Atlanta (-4.5)

NY Giants (-1.5)

SAN DIEGO (-7.5)

Denver (+13)

New England (-4.5)

BALTIMORE (-3.5)

TAMPA BAY (-10)

Jesse’s picks

Whew tough week. I don’t love an of these games. All right here goes nothing.

I’ll take Detroit vs the Cowboys-I don’t like the Cowboys secondary and they havent’ impressed me in any of the first three games they’ve played. I’m not seeing the huge difference Garrett is making in terms of discipline and playing smart football.

Give me the Saints to cover the spread. The Jaguars have looked terrible. The Saints defense isn’t good, but what they can do well is blitz. Gabbert could have a really bad day.

I’ll take San Francisco to cover the spread vs the Eagles, even though I hate that the 49ers are playing at 1 o’clock and traveling across the country. I’ve actually been impressed with the 49ers front 7 this year. This team will win the N.F.C. West the moment they find a real quarterback. They have a lot of the other pieces. Their offensive line has struggled though and that could be bad vs the Eagles. Expect the Eagles to win, but the 49ers to cover, maybe.

I’ll take Washington over the Rams. The Rams are playing pretty awful football right now. The Redskins aren’t great, but they’re not as bad as the Rams are right now.

I’ll take Tennessee to beat Cleveland in Cleveland. I’ve put the Browns in the bottom five of my power rankings since the preseason. Their defense is no good. They have a lot of pieces missing I like the development of Colt McCoy but this team has to take two steps back before they can move forward. Titans are playing inconsistent football. I need Chris Johnson to have a big day. Come on’ man

I’ll hesitantly take Buffalo over the Bengals. I’d like the Bills a lot more if they had lost to the Patriots last week. Huge emotional game people are starting to talk about the Bills as a playoff team. When is that not a recipe for disaster. Also the Bengals seriously might be the best defense the Bills have seen this year (the Raiders didn’t play well when they traveled to play the Bills).

I’ll take Minnesota to beat Kansas City. They are less awful than the Chiefs.

I’ll take Pittsburgh to cover the Texans. My record be damned. I’m rooting for the Texans. I’d love to see the Texans, Bills, and Lions all in the playoffs this year. How great would that be? I’m not ready to believe in the Texans yet. They have teased me far too often in my life for that.

I’ll take Atlanta to cover the spread in Seattle. The Falcons are more than 4.5 points better than the Seahawks, even if they Seahawks are home. The Seahawks have no good quarterback play and the Falcons need to find their rhythm this could be a blow out. If it’s not, I’m going to be worried about the Falcons.

I’ll take the Giants to cover the spread vs the Cardinals. Smells like a “trap game” though, doesn’t it? Why are the Giants only favored by 1.5. Is this a Vegas suckers bet?

I’m riding Green Bay to cover the spread every week until they don’t. 13.5 is a tough pill to swallow, but the Tebow talk has to effect Orton sometime doesn’t it? Either way the Packers are 13 points better than the Broncos

I’m going to take Oakland to cover the spread, even though that scares the bejesus out of me. I’ve been pretty good with Oakland so far this season (2-1) I picked them to beat the Jets outright last week. I think the Raiders can keep pace with them offensively or at least run enough to keep the Patriots offense off the field enough to cover the spread.

I’m taking Baltimore to cover the kind of hefty spread vs the Jets. Thought this would be close to a pick ’em game. Still the Jets can’t run the ball, and they are not throwing that well either.

Lastly, I’m taking the Colts to cover the spread vs the Buccaneers.

Curtis Painter is awful, but if their defense plays like it did last week, it will be difficult for the Buccaneers to be 10 points better than the Colts.

Lock of the week

I’m only doing this once, and I hate making this pick, but I’m taking the Giants to be more than 1.5 point better than the Cardinals. I realize last week was a very emotionally draining game for the Giants, but they are more than 1.5 point better than the Cardinals, even if they haven’t played the Cardinals well the last couple of times they’ve played them. This seems like a a sucker bet and maybe I’m sucker, but 1.5 points isn’t enough for me. The Giants are better than the Cardinals. What is comfotring is Eli Manning is 20-4 in his career in October. He’s also been on fire the last six quarters he’s played. Mario Manningham returns on Sunday, as does Osi Umeinyora (well possibly). I expect Bradshaw and Jacobs to have big games and for Hakeem Nicks to finally have his breakout performance for the season.

Home/NFL Draft