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		<title>College Football Weekly Update: Stanford Does it Again</title>
		<link>http://nflmocks.com/2009/11/17/college-football-weekly-update-stanford-does-it-again/</link>
		<comments>http://nflmocks.com/2009/11/17/college-football-weekly-update-stanford-does-it-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Nov 2009 08:33:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>nflmocks</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nflmocks.com/?p=1909</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Stanford Does it Again (and so does USC)
A week after defeating an Oregon team ranked in the top 10, the Cardinal put a whooping on another top 10 team. This time, the victim was Southern Cal.
Stanford got off to an early 14-0 lead and had a 21-7 lead at halftime. Southern Cal made some big [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Stanford Does it Again (and so does USC)</strong></p>
<p>A week after defeating an Oregon team ranked in the top 10, the Cardinal put a whooping on another top 10 team. This time, the victim was Southern Cal.</p>
<p>Stanford got off to an early 14-0 lead and had a 21-7 lead at halftime. Southern Cal made some big plays in the third quarter to cut the lead to just 28-21, but, Stanford dominated the final quarter, outscoring the Trojans 27-0 in route to a 55-21 victory.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1910" title="Stanford USC Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/stansacksbarkley-300x247.jpg" alt="Stanford USC Football" width="300" height="247" />Stanford has moved in the top 20 and is arguably the hottest team in the nation. Meanwhile, Southern Cal’s quest for an eighth straight 11-win season, BCS Bowl bid and top-four finish is all but over. USC is now 4-3 in conference play and is tied for fifth in the Pac-10. Stanford still has a chance at the Rose Bowl while the Trojans may be relegated to the Emerald Bowl.</p>
<p>The most points ever given up by a Pete Carroll-led USC team came three weeks ago when Oregon lit up the Trojans for 47 points. Then, Stanford scored 55 points at USC Saturday. In other words, this is the worst defense that Carroll has had at USC. By far.</p>
<p><span id="more-1909"></span></p>
<p>On the flip side, Stanford had scored 106 points in their last two games.</p>
<p>Many feel the Cardinal have the most-balanced offense in the entire country and they showed why on Saturday.</p>
<p>Quarterback Andrew Luck, a redshirt Freshman, was 12-of-22 for 144 yards with 2 TDs and 0 interceptions. Toby Gerhart continued to show that he is an elite player by rushing for 178 yards on 29 carries and scoring three touchdowns.  Gerhart was understandably excited.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;To do that against a storied program, a perennial power, it&#8217;s the greatest feeling in the world. It was just will. The offensive line just moved people. We got after them and got downhill, and it was just a good offensive day.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Stanford rushed for 325 yards and picked up 469 total yards, while holding the Trojans to just 334 total yards. Stanford was also extremely efficient when they needed to be, converting eight of their 11 third down attempts and converting on their only fourth down try.</p>
<p>Stanford has just two games remaining. They play host to California in their annual rivalry game and then head back home to host Notre Dame.</p>
<p>Stanford is currently in a three-way tie for second place in the Pac-10. Unfortunately for the Cardinal, they lost to the two teams they are tied with – Arizona and Oregon State.</p>
<p>The best bet for a Stanford BCS berth would be to have Arizona lose one of their final three games. That very well could happen because the Wildcats host Oregon and then travel to Arizona State and USC. Stanford would love for Arizona to upset Oregon and lose one of their final two games because Stanford also needs Oregon to lose at least one game. The Ducks are currently in first place in the Pac-10 at 6-1.</p>
<p>Oregon State plays Washington State and Oregon on the road in their final two games. Wazzou is maybe the worst of any team in a BCS Conference, so it is unlikely that Beavers will drop that game. That means the Cardinal will need Oregon to defeat their rivals and lose their game this week at Arizona.</p>
<p>To summarize, Arizona has to beat Oregon and then lose to either USC or Arizona State and Oregon has to defeat Oregon State to get Stanford to the Rose Bowl.  It’s a complicated scenario that seems unlikely, but it’s far from impossible.</p>
<p><strong>Is TCU a National Title Contender?</strong></p>
<p>In the highly anticipated MWC matchup between TCU and Utah, the Horned Frogs dominated from start to finish. TCU gained 549 total yards while holding the Utes to just 284 total yards and just 65 yards rushing. The Horned Frogs rushed for 342 yards.</p>
<p>The game seemed like it would be a good one early on but TCU turned a 7-7 tie into a 35-7 blowout in just over six minutes spanning from the end of the first quarter into the second quarter.</p>
<p>Junior Quarterback Andy Dalton is playing great football for the Frogs. He’s completing 63% of his passes (149-of-236), has 2,088 yards and 17 touchdowns with just 4 interceptions. He’s making great decisions and is avoiding mistakes. He’s also rushed for 389 yards and 2 TDs.</p>
<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1912" title="Utah TCU Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/jerryhugesownsutes-300x275.jpg" alt="Utah TCU Football" width="300" height="275" />TCU’s running game has been outstanding. Dalton has 389 yards and is just the team’s fourth leading rusher. Joseph Turner (622 yards), Ed Wesley (598 yards) and Matthew Tucker (471) make up the three-headed monster at Running Back. The team has rushed for 2,521 yards, is averaging 5.3 yards per carry and has scored 30 touchdowns.</p>
<p>There is a very good argument for TCU.</p>
<p>TCU is the only team in the country to rank in top four in both total offense and total defense, ranking fourth in both categories.</p>
<p>That defense is led by Defensive End Jerry Hughes, who has 49 tackles and 10 sacks. The unit is also extremely well coached by Defensive Coordinator Dick Bumpas and Head Coach Gary Patterson.</p>
<p>TCU has won three key road games. They won at likely ACC Atlantic Division Champion Clemson, at Virginia, and blew out conference rival BYU at Provo.</p>
<p>The Horned Frogs have defeated three teams currently ranked in the top 25 (Clemson, BYU, &amp; Utah). Alabama has defeated just two teams currently ranked in the top 25 (Virginia Tech, LSU) while Florida (LSU) and Texas (Oklahoma State) have defeated just one each.</p>
<p>TCU isn’t just beating these teams either – they are destroying them. Outside of a close, come from behind win in Death Valley against a very talented Clemson team and a scare at Air Force, TCU has won every game by at least 16 points and is winning by an average of 26.3 points per game.</p>
<p>Unfortunately the Frogs need a loss by Texas to make the title game and that doesn’t seem likely. The Horns host Kansas Saturday, play at rival Texas A&amp;M on Thanksgiving and then have 9 days to prepare for the Big 12 Championship against either Nebraska or Kansas State.  The Horns should be a heavy favorite in all three games.</p>
<p>TCU is one of the country’s elite team.</p>
<p>And they probably won&#8217;t get the chance to prove it.</p>
<p><strong>FBS Notes</strong></p>
<p>After disappointing losses to Southern Cal and Purdue, Ohio State is going back to the Rose Bowl. The Buckeyes were in third place in the Big 10 just two weeks ago, but after wins against second-place Penn State and first-place Iowa, the Buckeyes clinched the Big 10 title. They conclude their season in the Big House against Michigan Saturday.</p>
<p>Duke’s performance has been one of the stories of the season. It looked like the story would get even better after they took a 10-0 lead against ACC Coastal leader Georgia Tech. Then, the Yellow Jackets scored the game’s last 49 points, winning 49-10. Tech has clinched a spot against either Clemson or Boston College in the ACC Championship and has a week off before finishing the season against rival Georgia on November 28. The Jackets have won 8 in a row and are the BCS’ top ranked one-loss team.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1913" title="Florida St Wake Forest Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/ejmanuelvswake-298x300.jpg" alt="Florida St Wake Forest Football" width="298" height="300" />Props to Redshirt Freshman QB E.J. Manuel of Florida State. He stepped in for an injured Christian Ponder and led FSU to their first win against Wake Forest in four years. On the road. He was 15-of-20 (75%) for 220 yards with 1 TD passing and 1 interception. He also had 10 carries for 45 yards and a TD rushing. If Manuel can lead the ‘Noles to a home win against Maryland Saturday, FSU will be bowl-bound after a 2-4 start.</p>
<p>Miami Sophomore QB Jacory Harris has now thrown 16 interceptions after his 4 interception performance against North Carolina on Saturday. Harris looks great at times but his inconsistency has cost the Canes a shot at the ACC title. Then again, without him, it’s unlikely that they would have even been in the ACC race to begin with. The media was way too quick in anointing Harris, but he is still just a true sophomore.  There is plenty of room for improvement but there is also plenty of time for improvement.</p>
<p>LSU is not a top-10 team. LSU nearly lost to Louisiana Tech, coming from behind to win 24-16 last weekend. The Tigers have not had an impressive win all season. Sure, they kept it close with the nation’s top two teams, Florida and Alabama, but a loss is still a loss.  Their best win is also tainted in the eyes of some because of the excessive celebration penalty called on Georgia Wide Receiver A.J. Green after Georgia took a late lead.</p>
<p>Houston Quarterback Case Keenum probably lost his chance at the Heisman Trophy after Houston was upset by Central Florida. Keenum threw for “only” 377 yards and 3 TDs. I would also like to congratulate UCF on their first ever win over a top 25 team. Houston entered the game ranked 15<sup>th</sup>.</p>
<p>If Charlie Weis wasn’t done after the loss to Navy, he is now. Notre Dame was defeated by Pittsburgh and Weis is now just 35-25 in five seasons at Notre Dame. He’s just 6-4 against what was considered a fairly weak schedule. And with games left against Connecticut and at red-hot Stanford, it may get even worse for Weis and the Irish.</p>
<p align="center"><strong>Performance of the Week:</strong></p>
<p align="center">Toby Gerhart, Running Back, Stanford</p>
<p align="center"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1914" title="Stanford USC Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/gerhartsonsusc-239x300.jpg" alt="Stanford USC Football" width="239" height="300" /></p>
<p>Gerhart takes home the honor for the second straight week after rushing for 178 yards on 29 carries and scoring three touchdowns, leading Stanford to a 55-21 blowout win at Southern Cal.</p>
<p><strong>The Heisman Race</strong></p>
<p>We have a little bit of shake-up, but the top 2 remain the same.</p>
<p>1.	Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama<br />
Last Week: 19 carries, 149 yards, 2 TDs<br />
Season: 194 carries, 1,297 yards (6.7 yards per carry), 25 receptions, 225 yards, 3 TDs.</p>
<p>2.	Colt McCoy, QB, Texas<br />
Last Week:  23-of-34 for 181 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs<br />
Season: 254-of-351 (72.4%), 19 TDs, 9 INTs, 1 TD rushing</p>
<p>3.	Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame<br />
Last Week: 9 catches, 113 yards, 1 TD, 87-yard punt return TD<br />
Season: 74 receptions, 1,172 yards, 11 TDs, 23 carries, 159 yards, 2 TDs, 1 punt return TD</p>
<p>4.	Case Keenum, QB, Houston<br />
Last Week: 33-of-56 for 377 yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT<br />
Season: 358-of-514 (69.7%), 4,194 yards, 31 TDs, 6 INTs, 3 TDs rushing</p>
<p>5.	C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson<br />
Last Week: 18 rushes, 97 yards, 1 TD, 3 receptions, 48 yards, 1 TD, 1-of-1, 17 yards, and a TD passing.<br />
Season: 153 carries, 836 yards (5.5 ypc), 6 TDs, 24 receptions, 382 yards, 4 TDs, 1-of-2, 17 yards, 1 TD, 11 punt returns for 191 yards, 1 TD, 16 kickoff returns for 543 yards, 3 TDs, 1,952 all-purpose yards,  15 Total TDs.</p>
<p>Looking in:</p>
<p>Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford<br />
Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame<br />
Tim Tebow, QB, Florida<br />
Kellen Moore, QB, Boise State<br />
Jordan Shipley, WR, Texas</p>
<p>My Top 25</p>
<ol>
<li>Alabama</li>
<li>Florida</li>
<li>Texas</li>
<li>TCU</li>
<li>Cincinnati</li>
<li>Boise State</li>
<li>Georgia Tech</li>
<li>Pittsburgh</li>
<li>Ohio State</li>
<li>Oregon</li>
<li>LSU</li>
<li>Iowa</li>
<li>Penn State</li>
<li>Oklahoma State</li>
<li>Wisconsin</li>
<li>Virginia Tech</li>
<li>Stanford</li>
<li>Clemson</li>
<li>Utah</li>
<li>Brigham Young</li>
<li>North Carolina</li>
<li>Houston</li>
<li>Rutgers</li>
<li>Oregon State</li>
<li>Miami (FL)</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Game of the Week</strong></p>
<p>#9 Ohio State @ Michigan</p>
<p>12:00 pm, EST, ABC</p>
<p>The Line: OSU – 12</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1915" title="Iowa Ohio St Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/osuroses-300x226.jpg" alt="Iowa Ohio St Football" width="300" height="226" />Michigan came out of the gate strong, starting 4-0. The Buckeyes started the year a disappointing 5-2. Both teams have since gone in difference directions. Michigan is just 1-6 since their 4-0 start and the Buckeyes have won four straight claims and clinch the Big 10 title. Michigan has to win this game in order to become bowl eligible. If they don’t, Rich Rodriguez’s club will be home for the holidays for the second straight season – that won’t make the big wigs and boosters at Michigan happy.</p>
<p>Sure, the game is in the Big House, but I don’t think that matters. The Buckeyes have a better team, plain and simple.</p>
<p>Michigan’s defense is awful. They give up over 400 yards per game and 5.73 yards per play, ranking 89<sup>th</sup> in the country.</p>
<p>Ohio State’s defense is one of the nation’s elite. It is an extremely well coached unit and is fifth in the country in total defense. The Buckeyes give up just over 258 yards per game and only 4.08 yards per play.</p>
<p>Michigan’s offense is improved but they still rank just 56<sup>th</sup> in the nation. The Wolvers average less yards than they give up at 391.36. They average 5.74 yards per play. They have struggled against good defenses and Ohio State’s defense will easily be the best the Wolverines have seen.</p>
<p>Terrelle Pryor is playing much better as of late so I like the Buckeyes to come away with a comfortable win.</p>
<p><strong>Keep an Eye On…</strong></p>
<p>#11 LSU @ Ole Miss – 3</p>
<p>Ole Miss has been disappointing this season, losing three games after being projected as a top-10 team, but the Rebels have won 4 out of 5 after a 3-2 start and played their most complete game of the season last week against Tennessee. The Rebels dominated the Vols, 42-17. Running Back Dexter McCluster was incredible, rushing for 282 yards on 25 carries with 4 TDs against a Tennessee defense that has been very stout this season.</p>
<p>Both defenses are stout. LSU gives up just under 312 yards per game while the Rebels give up 313 yards per game. Both units are extremely talented and it will likely come down to which offense can make more plays.</p>
<p>LSU’s offense is awful. The Tigers rank 107<sup>th</sup> in the country in total offense. They average just 310 yards per game. Ole Miss’ offense has had a lot of trouble with turnovers and inconsistent play from QB Jevon Snead, but they have been a much better unit then the Tigers. They rank 41<sup>st</sup> in the nation, gaining 405 yards per game and 5.96 yards per play.</p>
<p>California @ #17 Stanford – 7</p>
<p>If you haven’t seen the balance of their Stanford offense led by Quarterback Andrew Luck and Running Back Toby Gerhart, do yourself a favor and check it out.</p>
<p>We should see some points in the “Big game.” Both defenses have had several lapses but both offenses are capable of scoring points.</p>
<p>It looks like Stanford should come away with the victory, but this is a rivalry game and Cal is a very talented team.</p>
<p>(<em>Andrew Melnick is <a href="http://howardthedunk.com">Howard the Dunk&#8217;s</a> lead blogger and a contributor at <a href="http://nflmocks.com">NFL Mocks</a> Subscribe to his <a href="http://feeds2.feedburner.com/HowardTheDunk" target="_blank">RSS feed</a> and add him on <a href="http://twitter.com/HowardtheDunk" target="_blank">Twitter</a> to follow him daily.</em>)</p>
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		<title>College Football Weekly Update: SEC Showdown Set</title>
		<link>http://nflmocks.com/2009/11/10/college-football-weekly-update-5/</link>
		<comments>http://nflmocks.com/2009/11/10/college-football-weekly-update-5/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 07:17:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>nflmocks</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://nflmocks.com/?p=1890</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[SEC Championship Showdown Set
The second the clock hit 00:00 in Alabama’s 24-15 victory over SEC West divison-rival LSU, the showdown was set.
The rematch of last season’s SEC Championship game that college football fans have been waiting for since the season began will be played. The BCS’ top-ranked team, Florida, will take on the second-ranked team, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>SEC Championship Showdown Set</strong></p>
<p>The second the clock hit 00:00 in Alabama’s 24-15 victory over SEC West divison-rival LSU, the showdown was set.</p>
<p>The rematch of last season’s SEC Championship game that college football fans have been waiting for since the season began will be played. The BCS’ top-ranked team, Florida, will take on the second-ranked team, Alabama on December 5.</p>
<p>Of course, each team has to win out, but that seems like a formality. Florida travels to South Carolina before hosting Florida International and rival Florida State to end the season.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1893" title="bamaufsectitle" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/bamaufsectitle-300x215.jpg" alt="bamaufsectitle" width="300" height="215" />Alabama plays on the road, at Mississippi State, but then host Chattanooga and Auburn.</p>
<p>Mississippi State and South Carolina could present some match-up problems for the Tide and the Gators, but it’s hard to see either team losing. The Gators are 16-point favorites, while the Tide have opened up as 13-point favorites.</p>
<p>After each team faces a cupcake, both teams have to battle their in-state rivals, Auburn and Florida State, but neither rival looks to pose much of a threat.</p>
<p><span id="more-1890"></span></p>
<p>The Tigers came out of the gate hot, starting the season 5-0 with wins over West Virginia and Tennessee. Since that time, the Tigers are just 2-3 with their wins coming at home over Mississippi and Furman. They were blown out at Arkansas and LSU and lost a home contest against Kentucky. Auburn is on a bye the week before they play Alabama, a luxury that the Tide don’t have, but as mentioned above, the Tide face Chattanooga the week before, so it’s likely they will be able to spend some extra time preparing for the Tigers.  Alabama defeated Auburn 36-0 last season.</p>
<p>The Gators shouldn’t have a problem in their rivalry game either. Florida State is 4-5 and has arguably the second worst defense of any BCS school in the entire nation (Washington State). Even with Florida’s struggles on offense, no team has any trouble scoring in bunches against the Seminole defense. Their offense was rolling until Quarterback Christian Ponder separated his shoulder in the Seminoles’ loss at Clemson Saturday. Florida State has to turn to Redshirt Freshman E.J. Manuel and although Manuel is very talented, he has thrown just 4 passes in his career. The Gators have defeated their rivals five consecutive times, including a 45-13 victory over the ‘Noles last season.</p>
<p>The two played in the SEC Championship last season when the 2nd ranked Gators beat the top-ranked Tide in a very tight game, 31-20. The two teams were fairly evenly matched last year and that seems to be the case again this season.</p>
<p>Alabama and Florida have arguably the two best defenses in the country. Florida ranks second in total defense, while Alabama is fourth (Texas leads the nation while TCU is third). The Gators give up 4 yards per play while the Tide give up slightly less at 3.9 yards per play (in comparison Texas gives up 3.5 yards per play but has faced lesser competition).</p>
<p>Both teams have had some major struggles on offense. Neither offense has been all that effective and both Quarterbacks have struggled, especially in the red zone. Tim Tebow has just 11 TDs and 1,531 yards through the air and 578 yards on the ground (3.7 ypc) with 9 more TDs. Greg McElroy is completing just over 59% of his passes and has only 1,721 yards.</p>
<p>The good news for both squads is that both QBs have looked much better in recent games (McElroy vs. LSU and Tebow vs. Georgia).</p>
<p>The Gators average 6.58 yards per play on offense while the Tide average 6.06, but do be fair the Gators have an easier schedule than the Tide. Alabama has seen several better defensive clubs than the Gators have.</p>
<p>As we get closer to December, we will have much more coverage of what will most likely be an epic battle for not only the SEC Championship, but a berth in the National Championship game.</p>
<p><strong>So Much for the Ducks<br />
</strong><br />
I raved about Oregon after their blowout win over Southern Cal last week <a href="http://nflmocks.com/2009/11/04/college-football-weekly-update-how-the-ducks-turned-things-around/last week.">here</a>.</p>
<p>So much for that.</p>
<p>Stanford got out to an early 24-7 lead, was up 31-14 at the half and held on for a 51-42 victory over Oregon.</p>
<p>Last week, Oregon’s defense looked like world-beaters, but after USC managed to put just 14 points on Arizona State and the Ducks’ defense was torched by the Cardinal, they look anything but.</p>
<p>Oregon gave up 51 points and 505 total yards on the ground to a very balanced Stanford attack. Stanford had 251 yards passing and 254 yards rushing.</p>
<p>You can’t blame Oregon’s offense. They came to play.  They put up 570 yards and 42 points to make a game of it. Jeremiah Masoli had 334 yards and 3 TDs while rushing for 55 yards and a score. LaMichael James had 125 yards and a TD on the ground.</p>
<p>Stanford Head Coach Jim Harbaugh thinks that his Quarterback Andrew Luck is the best Quartberack in the country. I&#8217;m not sure about that but, Luck was very good Saturday, completing 12-of-20 passes for 251 yards and 2 TDs. The real story of the game was Stanford Running Back Toby Gerhart.</p>
<p>Gerhart rushed for a school-record 223 yards on 38 carries and had three scores. He now has 1,217 yards on 233 carries (5.2 ypc) and 16 TDs on the season.</p>
<p>Speaking of Oregon, Oregon and the Pac-10 have re-instated Running Back LaGarette Blount.</p>
<p>Everyone remembers Blount for his punch of Boise State defensive end Byron Hout after a poor performance in which he rushed for -5 yards on 8 carries, but in 2008, Blount was a very good back. In fact, Blount rushed for 1,002 yards on just 137 carries in 2008.</p>
<p>LaMichael James has been great for the Ducks, rushing for 1,043 yards this season, but he is rather small (he’s listed at 5’9, 180 lbs.). Blount is a big back at 6’2, 240. He will give the Ducks a power back so they can have a “thunder and lightning” combo.</p>
<p>I thought Blount’s suspension may have been too severe in the first place. I absolutely agree that there is no place for something like that in college football, but a season-long suspension seemed like too much. After all, he was antagonized by Hout and Hout received no public punishment.</p>
<p><strong>Ponder Out For the Season</strong></p>
<p>You have to feel for Florida State Quarterback Christian Ponder. He was having an excellent season for the struggling Seminoles, but suffered broken ribs during the first half of FSU’s win over North Carolina State. He tried to play with those broken ribs against Clemson but was off all game, throwing a career-high 4 interceptions. Ponder separated his shoulder attempting a tackle after his final pick and will now miss the rest of the season. Highly-touted Redshirt Freshman E.J. Manuel will step in and start the Seminoles’ final three games (@ Wake Forest, Maryland, @ Florida). Ponder finished the season completing 68.6% of his passes for 2,717 yards with 14 TDs and 7 interceptions. He also rushed for 2 TDs.</p>
<p><strong>How can Charlie Weis survive this season?</strong></p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1894" title="Navy Notre Dame Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/nvaybeatnd-300x230.jpg" alt="Navy Notre Dame Football" width="300" height="230" />After another home loss to Navy, the Irish dropped to 6-3 on the season. With games still to come at  Pittsburgh, home against Connecticut and at Stanford, Notre Dame will more than likely lose another game and have a change to lose all three. Pittsburgh is a 7-point favorite and I’d expect Notre Dame to be a road underdog against Stanford as well.</p>
<p>After one year at Notre Dame, Weis went 9-3 and won the Eddie Robinson Coach of the Year award. The Irish were defeated by Ohio State in the Fiesta Bowl 34-20. In the middle of that second season, Weis was given a huge, 10-year contract extension just five games into his head coaching career. The n his next year, he went 10-3 and the Irish were blown out 41-14 by LSU in the Sugar Bowl.  In 2007, the Irish won just 3 games and followed that up with a 7-6 campaign in 2008.</p>
<p>That makes Weis just 35-24 at Notre Dame and the Irish have just one bowl win (over Hawaii).</p>
<p>In comparison, Ty Willingham was 21-15 at Notre Dame and Bob Davie had a nearly identical record of 35-25.</p>
<p>If the Irish win out, with their schedule, I still find it hard to believe that Weis would keep his job. After all, he has lost two games to Navy after the Irish had previously won 43 games in a row against the Midshipmen.</p>
<p><strong>Iowa&#8217;s luck runs out</strong></p>
<p>I don’t think anyone is surprised that Iowa’s run came to end. They had been living on the edge every week, barely eeking out wins over Northern Iowa, Arkansas State, Michigan and Michigan State. They had to block two field goals to defeat Northern Iowa, had to stop a two-point conversion try and a last-effort drive by Michigan and had to score on the game’s final play to beat Michigan State. After the Hawkeye erased a 10-point fourth quarter deficit against Indiana for a 42-24 win, many were beginning to think that Iowa was a team of destiny and with just three games left, maybe they could complete a perfect season.</p>
<p>Once Quarterback Ricky Stanzi went down, hope seemingly went out the window. Iowa had a 10-0 lead before Stanzi was sacked, injured, and fumbled. The fumble was recovered by Marshall Thomas in the end zone for a Northwestern touchdown to cut the lead to 10-7. The Wildcats would score twice more and Iowa couldn’t muster much of anything on offense.</p>
<p>Iowa had a good run, but you can only live on the edge for so long.</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><strong>Performance of the Week:</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1892" title="Oregon Stanford Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/tobygerhart-300x278.jpg" alt="Oregon Stanford Football" width="300" height="278" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center">Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford<br />
Gerharts rushed for 233 yards on 38 carries and had 2 TDs as Stanford upset Oregon.</p>
<p><strong>The Heisman Race</strong></p>
<p>1.	Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama<br />
Last week: 22 carries, 144 yards, 5 receptions, 30 yard<br />
Season:  175 carries, 1,148 yards, 8 TDs, 24 receptions, 216 yards, 3 TDs<br />
2.	Colt McCoy, QB, Texas<br />
Last week: 33-of-42, 470 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT<br />
Season: 231-of-317 (72.9%), 2,447 yards, 17 TDs, 9 INTs, 1 TD rushing<br />
3.	Case Keenum, QB, Houston<br />
Last week: 40-of-60, 522 yards, 3 TDs<br />
Season: 325-of-458 (71%), 3,815 yards, 28 TD, 5 INT, 3 TDs rushing<br />
4.	Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame<br />
Last week: 37-of-51, 452 yards, 2 TDS, 1 INT<br />
Season:  209-of-308 (68%), 2,770 yards, 20 TDs, 3 INT, 1 TD rushing<br />
5.	Tim Tebow, QB, Florida<br />
Last week: 15-of-20, 208 yards, 1 TD, 16 carries, 27 yards, 1 TD<br />
Season: 114-of-173 (66%), 1,531 yards, 11 TDs, 4 INT, 155 attempts, 578 yards (3.7 ypc), 9 TD</p>
<p><strong>My Top 25</strong></p>
<p>1.	Alabama<br />
2.	Florida<br />
3.	Texas<br />
4.	Cincinnati<br />
5.	TCU<br />
6.	Boise State<br />
7.	Georgia Tech<br />
8.	LSU<br />
9.	Pittsburgh<br />
10.	Utah<br />
11.	Iowa<br />
12.	Ohio State<br />
13.	Houston<br />
14.	Oregon<br />
15.	USC<br />
16.	Penn State<br />
17.	Miami<br />
18.	Oklahoma State<br />
19.	Arizona<br />
20.	Wisconsin<br />
21.	Virginia Tech<br />
22.	South Florida<br />
23.	Clemson<br />
24.	Stanford<br />
25.	West Virginia</p>
<p><strong>Game of the Week</strong><br />
#11 Iowa @ #12 Ohio State<br />
3:30 PM, ABC<br />
The Line: OSU – 17</p>
<p>Iowa Quarterback Ricky Stanzi doesn’t have very good numbers at all (2186 yards, 56%, 15 TDs, 14 INTs) but he had a knack for making a big play down the stretch. James Vandenberg was awful replacing Stanzi went down with an ankle injury in Iowa’s 17-10 loss to Northwestern. Vandenberg was 9-of-27 for 82 yards and an interception. He also missed a wide open Iowa receiver late in the fourth quarter on a play that could have tied the game.<img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1895" title="Ohio St Penn St Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/osuoverpsu-300x226.jpg" alt="Ohio St Penn St Football" width="300" height="226" /></p>
<p>Iowa has been very ineffective running the ball this season. They have just 1,192 yards in 10 games. That’s just 119 yards per game and only 3.4 yards per carry. Against a top-flight defense like the Buckeyes, I don’t see how Iowa is going to be able to move the ball without Stanzi. Actually, I don’t see how they would be able to score against this well-coached Buckeye defense even if they had Stanzi.</p>
<p>Penn State entered last week’s game averaging just under 31 points per game. They scored 7 against the Buckeyes and their one touchdown came on a controversial 4th-and-one where it looked Daryll Clark’s sneak may have been stopped short. The Lions finished with just 201 total yards</p>
<p>Ohio State, on the other hand, rushed for 190 yards per game and averages 4.7 yards per rush even with a mostly ineffective passing game. Terrelle Pryor was still relatively ineffective last week against Penn State, but he made big plays when he had to (2 TD passes) and managed the game well, avoiding a turnover. The Buckeyes put 228 rushing yards on a very stingy Penn State defense. That’s almost as many total yards as Penn State gave up per game coming in (254).</p>
<p>I’m not sure the Buckeyes will score enough to cover, but I think their defense is going to dominate and the game will never really be in doubt.</p>
<p><strong>What Else to Keep an Eye On</strong></p>
<p>#13 Houston @ Central Florida +5.5<br />
Noon</p>
<p>The Knights hung with Texas for 2.5 quarters before losing 35-3. Case Keenum is coming off back-to-back 500 yard games and Colt McCoy shredded the Knights for 470 yards last week. The Knights do have some talent on their roster, especially on the defensive line. If UCF has Quarterback Brett Hodges and Running Back Brynn Harvey back from apparent injuries, they may be able to give the Cougars a game.</p>
<p>#2 Florida @ South Carolina +16<br />
CBS, 3:30</p>
<p>I thought the Gamecocks’ stingy defense might give them a chance in this game, but they have given up 31 to Tennessee and 33 to Arkansas in the last two weeks. The home crowd may keep South Carolina in the game early, but they just don’t have enough on offense to beat the Gators.</p>
<p>(<em>Andrew Melnick is <a href="http://howardthedunk.com">Howard the Dunk&#8217;s</a> lead blogger and a contributor at <a href="http://nflmocks.com">NFL Mocks</a> Subscribe to his <a href="http://feeds2.feedburner.com/HowardTheDunk" target="_blank">RSS feed</a> and add him on <a href="http://twitter.com/HowardtheDunk" target="_blank">Twitter</a> to follow him daily.</em>)</p>
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		<title>College Football Weekly Update- How the Ducks Turned Things Around</title>
		<link>http://nflmocks.com/2009/11/04/college-football-weekly-update-how-the-ducks-turned-things-around/</link>
		<comments>http://nflmocks.com/2009/11/04/college-football-weekly-update-how-the-ducks-turned-things-around/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Nov 2009 07:36:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>nflmocks</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[How the Ducks Turned it Around
Oregon had high hopes at the start of the season and it all started with a revenge game at Boise State to start the season. Before the game even got started, LaGarrette Blount told the media that they “owed Boise a beating.&#8221; By the end of the game, the only [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>How the Ducks Turned it Around</strong></p>
<p>Oregon had high hopes at the start of the season and it all started with a revenge game at Boise State to start the season. Before the game even got started, LaGarrette Blount told the media that they “owed Boise a beating.&#8221; By the end of the game, the only beating Blount gave was the punch he threw at Byron Hout.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1861" title="Southern Cal Oregon Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/chipkelly-300x232.jpg" alt="Southern Cal Oregon Football" width="300" height="232" />The Broncos did the beating, holding the Ducks to 151 total yards and just six first downs in route to a 19-8 victory.</p>
<p>Things didn’t get a lot better the following week. Oregon’s offense woke up and scored 38 points, but they allowed Purdue, who currently sits at 3-6, to score 36 points. The Boilermakers caught what would have been the game-tying two-point conversion with 1:01 left, but Kyle Adams was out-of-bounds.</p>
<p>The next week, Oregon defeated 18<sup>th</sup> ranked Utah 31-24 and never looked back. Their defense has played much better as has Quarterback Jeremiah Masoli. The Ducks have dominated every opponent they have face since then, starting with a 42-3 blowout win over previously unbeaten California a week after the Utah win.</p>
<p>But no win was larger than the Ducks 47-20 destruction of Southern Cal. The Ducks held the powerful Trojans to just 327 yards and absolutely lit up the USC defense, scoring 47 points and racking up 622 yards, including an astounding 391 yards rushing.</p>
<p><span id="more-1857"></span></p>
<p>There are four main reasons for Oregon’s improved play.</p>
<ul>
<li>- Chip Kelly’s coaching job</li>
</ul>
<p>He kept his team afloat after an extremely disappointing early-season loss and an incredible amount of negative publicity for his school and what was thought to be his team’s best player (Blount). He rallied has troops and has Oregon playing as well (maybe even better) as any team in the country. The opening week loss and subsequent punch are now things of the past.</p>
<ul>
<li>- The emergence of LaMichael James</li>
</ul>
<p>The freshman out of Texarkana, Texas has been an absolute beast. After getting just 11 carries in his first two games, James has rushed for over 100 yards in every game but one. That one game was a 52-6 victory over Washington State in which things got out of hand pretty quickly. James wound up with just 13 carries, but still managed 81 yards and 2 TDs. James saved his best performance for Oregon’s biggest game – he went for 183 yards and a TD on 24 carries Saturday night against the Trojans. He now has 918 yards and 7 TDs on just 131 carries (7.0 ypc). James’ most impressive game may have come in a 24-10 victory over UCLA. Backup QB Nate Costa had to make his first career start because of Jeremiah Masoli’s injury and he passed for just 82 yards. UCLA knew James had to run, but that didn’t stop him – he had 152 yards on 20 carries.</p>
<ul>
<li>- Oregon’s defensive improvements</li>
</ul>
<p>After holding Boise State to a season-low 19 points and 361 total yards in a loss, the Ducks were shredded by a pretty bad Purdue team for 36 points and 451 total yards. They followed that up by holding Utah to just 297 total yards and have played well in every game following the Utah game. In fact, the 20 points that USC scored on Oregon were the most points the Ducks have allowed since Utah scored 24 against them back in week 3.</p>
<ul>
<li>- Jeremiah Masoli has become a very good Quarterback</li>
</ul>
<p>After struggling in his first three games (29-of-64(45%), 0 TDs, 2 INTS), Masoli has really turned his game around. He has played in four games since then (he missed the UCLA game because of an injury) and has put up incredible numbers.  He is 68-of-96 (71%) for 748 yards, 6 TDs and zero INTs. He has also rushed for 291 yards and 4 TDs during that stretch. Masoli was 19-of-31 for 222 yards and a touchdown and added 164 yards and a TD on the ground in the blowout win over the Trojans. Masoli is making better decisions and the Ducks’ offense is playing at a very high level because of it. He has now accounted for 14 total TDs and has just 2 interceptions.</p>
<p>The Ducks probably don’t have a chance at a National Championship because of their opening game loss, but they do control their own destiny in the Pac-10. They have road dates with two ranked teams – Stanford and Arizona and have home games against Arizona State and rival Oregon State in the annual “Civil War.”</p>
<p><strong>Only One-Half for Brandon Spikes?</strong></p>
<p>I like the fact that Spikes has come out and apologized and I can’t really fault Tim Tebow for trying to defend him, but this warranted at least a full game suspension. Spikes blatantly tried to gouge the eyes of Georgia Running Back Washaun Ealey on Saturday and his classless act deserved worse than a half-game suspension. There is no place for that in college football and Spikes should have been made an example of. It seems like Meyer will stop at nothing to win another championship and if he wasn&#8217;t going to give Spikes the punishment he deserved, than the SEC should have stepped up and done it themselves.</p>
<p>I do like one thing Meyer did – he took action immediately- even if the punishment doesn’t match the crime.</p>
<p><strong>Long time FSU Defensive Mickey Andrews Announces his retirement</strong></p>
<p>Mickey Andrews is one of the best Defensive Coordinators of all time and he transformed Florida State into the national power that they become during the ‘90s. It’s unfortunate that such a loyal man and great coach is going out  like this – Florida State is fielding easily their worst defense since Andrews has been there. Click <a href="http://www.tomahawknation.com/2009/11/3/1111717/noles-mickey-andrews-the-finest">here</a> to see a very good article about Andrews’ career and just what he really meant to Florida State.</p>
<p style="text-align: center">
<p style="text-align: center"><strong>Performance of the Week</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center">Jeremiah Masoli, Quarterback, Oregon</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1863" title="masolicheer" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/masolicheer-300x168.jpg" alt="masolicheer" width="300" height="168" /></p>
<p>The Junior Quarterback went 19-of-31 for 222 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions. He also rushed for 164 yards on just 13 carries and added another TD on the ground while orchestrating a blowout win over Southern Cal, 47-20.</p>
<p><strong>The Heisman Race</strong></p>
<p>Mark Ingram didn’t play but I’m not sure anyone did anything to merit leaping him.</p>
<ol>
<li>Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama<br />
Last week: 18 attempts, 99 yards<br />
Season: 153 attempts, 1,004 yards, 8 TDs, 19 receptions, 186 yards, 3 TDs</li>
<li>Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame<br />
Last week: 22-of-27 for 268 yards and 2 TDs<br />
Season: 172-of-257 (66.9%), 2318 yards, 18 TDs, 2 INTs, 1 TD rushing</li>
<li>Colt McCoy, QB, Texas<br />
Last week: 16-of-21 for 171 yards and 1 TD<br />
Season: 198-of-275 (72%), 1977 yards, 15 TDs, 8 INTs, 1 rushing TD</li>
<li>Tim Tebow, QB, Florida<br />
Last week: 15-of-21 for 164 yards and 2 TDs, 18 carries, 85 yards, 2 TDs<br />
Season: 99-of-153 (64.7%), 1323 yards, 10 TDs, 4 INTs, 139 carries, 551 yards (4 ypc), 8 TDs</li>
<li>Case Keenum, QB, Houston<br />
Last week: 44-of-54 for 559 yards, 5 TDs, 1 INT<br />
Season: 285-of298 (71.6%), 3293 yards, 25 TDs, 5 INTs, 3 rushing TDs</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>My top 25</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>Alabama</li>
<li>Florida</li>
<li>Texas</li>
<li>Cincinnati</li>
<li>Iowa</li>
<li>TCU</li>
<li>Boise State</li>
<li>Oregon</li>
<li>Georgia Tech</li>
<li>LSU</li>
<li>Penn State</li>
<li>Pittsburgh</li>
<li>Utah</li>
<li>Houston</li>
<li>USC</li>
<li>Ohio State</li>
<li>Miami</li>
<li>Oklahoma State</li>
<li>Notre Dame</li>
<li>Arizona</li>
<li>Wisconsin</li>
<li>Virginia Tech</li>
<li>Oklahoma</li>
<li>South Florida</li>
<li>Clemson</li>
</ol>
<p><strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>Game of the Week:</strong><br />
#10 LSU @ #1 Alabama<br />
3:30 pm EST, CBS<br />
The Line: Alabama -10</p>
<p>It’s time for Saban Bowl III and if this installment is anything like the first two, we’re in luck.</p>
<p>In their first matchup, LSU pulled out a 41-34 victory after trailing 27-24 entering the fourth quarter. LSU scored two touchdowns in the final three minutes after a key Alabama fumbled.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1864" title="Tennessee Alabama Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/sabanbama-300x178.jpg" alt="Tennessee Alabama Football" width="300" height="178" />Last season, it was LSU that pulled the near upset after tying the game with 6:12 left. Alabama’s field goal on the final play of the regulation was blocked and the game went to overtime. LSU QB Jarrett Lee was picked off in overtime and Alabama went on to win the game 27-21.</p>
<p>LSU, who is ranked 9th in the BCS could get themselves back into the BCS Title picture with a win over Alabama,  setting up a potential rematch with Florida.</p>
<p>Both Quarterbacks have struggled to put points on the board for their offenses. In fact, Tennessee held Alabama without a touchdown while Florida kept LSU out of the end zone.</p>
<p>I think that both squads have excellent defenses that are capable of shutting down any opponent and although I do like the Tide’s defense better, I think it is their offense that is going to be the difference in this game.</p>
<p>And I like Alabama’s offense better for a couple of reasons. The number one reason is the balance that the Tide brings on offense. Alabama actually averages more yards per game on the ground (218 yards per game) then they do through the air (192 yards per game). LSU on the other hand, has had a lot of trouble running the ball, averaging 141.5 yards per game on the ground.</p>
<p>One of the best indicators of an offense is yards per play, so let’s look at that. The Tigers average 5.34 yards per play while the Tide’s offense averages just over 6 yards per play, but that doesn’t tell the whole story.</p>
<p>LSU averages just 3.95 yards per rush, while Alabama averages 5.3. I think that it will be much easier for Alabama to shut down LSU’s running game than vice versa, forcing LSU throw the ball earlier in the game, giving Alabama the opportunity to force LSU QB Jordan Jefferson into mistakes.</p>
<p>I really like the way Alabama dominates the clock. They have the ball or over 32 minutes per game while LSU doesn’t have much of an edge in T.O.P. at all. Alabama’s running game and ability to sustain drives is going to be the difference in this game. The Tide should be able to control the clock and wear down the LSU defense in the fourth quarter.</p>
<p><strong>Games to Watch</strong></p>
<p>#16 Ohio State @ #11 Penn State – 4<br />
3:30 pm EST, ABC Regional</p>
<p>Ohio State pitched another shutout last week when they beat New Mexico State 45-0. Penn State struggled early on and actually trailed Northwestern 13-10 before dominating the second half in route to a 34-13 win. I really like the Buckeyes’ defense. It is very good. The held NMSU to just 62 total yards and are one of the best coached units in the country year in and year out. The Buckeyes give up just 260 yards per game, good for sixth in the entire nation. The Buckeyes give up about 4 yards per play.</p>
<p><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1865" title="Penn State Northwestern Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/dlcark-300x234.jpg" alt="Penn State Northwestern Football" width="300" height="234" />My problem with the Buckeyes is their offense. They average just less than 5.78 yards per play. Quarterback Terrelle Pryor has been awful. He is completing just 54.6% of his passes and has thrown 9 interceptions.</p>
<p>Penn State’s defense gives up just 254 yards per game, good for fifth in the nation. Penn State’s defense gives up slightly over 4 yards per play so the defenses are pretty much even.</p>
<p>However, Penn State’s offense is much more explosive, averaging almost 6.5 yards per play. The Nittany Lions have also had much more consistent Quarterback play from Senior Daryll Clark. Clark has 18 TD passes and 7 interceptions, but 3 of them game in one really bad game – Penn State’s 21-10 loss against Iowa. Penn State also has a feature back – Evan Royster. Royster has rushed for 859 yards. Ohio State lacks a feature back and Pryor is the team’s leading rusher with 554 yards.</p>
<p>I think that Ohio State’s defense will be the best Daryll Clark has seen but Penn State is too explosive and Ohio State has too many offensive deficiencies.</p>
<p>#8 Oregon @ Stanford +5.5<br />
3:30 pm EST</p>
<p>Oregon is riding high after one of the biggest wins in the history of their program and now they have go on the road to take on a team that’s undefeated at home, has a consistent running game and a smart Quarterback – that’s an excellent recipe or an upset.</p>
<p>I really like what Chip Kelly is doing with the Ducks and I think he’s going to have his team ready to go.</p>
<p>#23 Oklahoma @ Nebraska +6<br />
8:00 pm EST, ABC Regional</p>
<p>Nebraska was really starting to make me a believer. They were 4-1, fresh off a win at Missouri, with their only loss coming in the final seconds at Lane Stadium against Virginia Tech. Then, they lost two straight home games. They were blown out by Texas Tech 31-10 and then beaten by Iowa State 9-7. Another conference loss would probably end any chance at a Big 12 title game appearance.</p>
<p>Nebraska has had a lot of trouble and despite Oklahoma’s defensive performance against Kansas State (KSU had 364 yards and 30 points), I don’t expect the Huskers to have much success against the Sooner defense. Landry Jones seems like he is getting very comfortable in the offense, so I like the Sooners to cover.</p>
<p>(<em>Andrew Melnick is <a href="http://howardthedunk.com">Howard the Dunk&#8217;s</a> lead blogger and a contributor at <a href="http://nflmocks.com">NFL Mocks</a> Subscribe to his <a href="http://feeds2.feedburner.com/HowardTheDunk" target="_blank">RSS feed</a> and add him on <a href="http://twitter.com/HowardtheDunk" target="_blank">Twitter</a> to follow him daily.</em>)</p>
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		<title>College Football Weekly Update</title>
		<link>http://nflmocks.com/2009/09/29/college-football-weekly-update/</link>
		<comments>http://nflmocks.com/2009/09/29/college-football-weekly-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Sep 2009 23:31:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>nflmocks</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Alabama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arkansas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Boise State]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Weekend Of Upsets
Three of the top six went down this weekend with each losing to an unranked team. 4th ranked Ole Miss was defeated by South Carolina, 5th ranked Penn State was beaten by Iowa for the seventh time in six games and 6th ranked California was destroyed by Oregon 42-3.
While many were very surprised [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Weekend Of Upsets</strong></p>
<p>Three of the top six went down this weekend with each losing to an unranked team. 4th ranked Ole Miss was defeated by South Carolina, 5th ranked Penn State was beaten by Iowa for the seventh time in six games and 6th ranked California was destroyed by Oregon 42-3.<img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1798" title="Mississippi SCarolina Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/garciacelebrates-300x257.jpg" alt="Mississippi SCarolina Football" width="300" height="257" /></p>
<p>While many were very surprised by these outcomes, I don’t think any of these upsets should have shocked anyone. Ole Miss was overhyped from the get-go. They had a pretty good team last season, but still lost four games, but they did win two huge games in 2008. They were the only team to defeat Florida (and did it in Gainesville) and also defeated a former #1 – Texas Tech, in the Cotton Bowl. After the season, Ole Miss lost their two best players in the first round of the NFL Draft – DT Peria Jerry (24th overall to Atlanta) and OT Michael Oher (23rd overall to Baltimore). You can’t lose your best player on both your offensive and defense line and expect there not to be a drop-off. Add Greg Hardy, Ole Miss’ star defensive end, who has been banged up since Ole Miss’ week one win over Memphis and you’ve got yourself some trouble.</p>
<p>In fact, I, along with many others, picked South Carolina to win the game. The Gamecocks defeated a pretty good NC State team in Raleigh and suffered their only loss in the closing seconds against Georgia. The Gamecocks had a chance to win the game but a 4th down pass inside the Georgia 10-yard line fell incomplete.</p>
<p>Penn State’s loss is a little more surprising to me, but it probably should not have been. Kirk Ferentz and the Hawkeyes have now beaten Penn State seven of the last eight times they have played them. Penn State has posted very good records since 2005, but they don’t have a whole lot of impressive victories. They were blown out in the Rose Bowl by USC last season after finishing the regular season 11-1 and winning the Big 10 Championship. I’m not sure that Penn State has the talent to be an actual National Championship contender. I don’t think they have the athletes at all positions to run with teams like Florida, Texas and Southern Cal and they have proven that over the last few seasons. Although they are having much more success than Florida State, I think Penn State is in a similar situation – both teams are being held back from reaching the truly elite level by their Hall-Of-Fame Head Coaches &#8211; the reason those teams became elite programs in the first place.</p>
<p>California’s blowout loss to Oregon came out of nowhere. Just <a href="http://nflmocks.com/2009/09/24/college-football-the-week-in-review/">last week</a>, I said that I would cast my Heisman vote for Jahvid Best and although I did say that I didn’t trust California as a team outside of Best, there’s no way I expected Oregon, with a struggling Quarterback, to blow to Bears out of the water. Coming into the contest against Cal, Oregon QB Jeremiah Masoli was just 29-64 with 379 yards, 0 TDs and 2 INTs, including a 4-16 performance in a win over Utah a week ago. Against Cal, Masoli was 21-25 for 253 yards with 3 TDs and 0 INTs.</p>
<p>I’m not totally surprised that the Ducks won, especially since the game was played in Autzen Stadium, but the score is just unbelievable.  Jahvid Best had just 55 yards on 16 carries, essentially taking him out of the Heisman Race.</p>
<p><strong>So What Does This Say About Boise State?</strong></p>
<p>Oregon has defeated Purdue and two former unbeaten, ranked teams- Utah and California. The Ducks have bounced back from the season-opening loss and the loss of their star Running Back. They have looked very good lately and worked their way back into the top 25, so what does all of this say about Boise State?</p>
<p>The Broncos dominated the Ducks in a week one win. They defeated Oregon 19-8 and held the Ducks to just 152 yards compared to the 524 yards that Oregon gained on California.</p>
<p>Last week, Boise State played an overmatched Bowling Green team and absolutely dominated, winning 49-14. Games like this tell us nothing, which is why you have to admire teams like BYU and TCU who are in a situation that is very similar to Boise State’s, but schedule much tougher competition. BYU has already played Oklahoma and Florida State, while TCU just went into South Carolina and came out with a win over Clemson.</p>
<p>There really isn’t anything standing in between Boise and an undefeated season and there hasn’t been since their week one win. Because of the schedule the Broncos play, we will never really know how good they are until the season ends, which is unfortunate for college football fans across the country. It’s also unfortunate for the Broncos because it gives them to chance to make a BCS National Championship game.</p>
<p><strong>Florida State and Miami Back? Guess Not. </strong></p>
<p>After a classic week one matchup between the ‘Canes and the ‘Noles, which was decided on a last second dropped pass by FSU giving Miami a one-point win, it looked like both teams may be “back.” I was skeptical after a week and FSU gave me even more reason to be skeptical after they had to score with less than a minute left to avoid losing at home to Jacksonville State.</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1799" title="Miami Virginia Tech  Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/harrisownedbyvt-300x218.jpg" alt="Miami Virginia Tech  Football" width="300" height="218" />Then, a week later, Miami dominated Georgia Tech 33-17 and Florida State absolutely destroyed 7th ranked BYU, rolling up over 500 yards of offense in a 54-28 win. Things were once again looking pretty in the sunshine state, but it didn’t last.</p>
<p>Florida State had one of their worst performances in years Saturday as they were defeated by the South Florida Bulls 17-7 in Tallahassee. Miami proved that they aren’t quite ready to be back on the national radar and that their fast climb in the rankings was a bit premature.</p>
<p>Both teams had their QBs struggle somewhat after both had looked like All Americans through the first three games. FSU QB Christian Ponder wasn’t too bad, going 25-37 for 269 yards, but he had a costly fumble that set up a USF FG that essentially ended the game. Ponder is completing 66.2% of his passes, had 4 TDs and just one INT so I still think a QB is one thing that the FSU coaching staff has finally found.</p>
<p>Jacory Harris looked nearly invincible in his first two starts, but then he ran into a very good defense that was the first team able to get pressure on the sophomore signal-caller. The Hokies held him to just nine completions on 25 attempts. He had an interception and a fumble. There will still be some growing pains because Harris is very young, but Miami has also found their QB.</p>
<p>Miami’s defense has been shaky, giving up 34, 17, and 31 points, but it is obvious that the team is on the right track.</p>
<p>Florida State, on the other hand, I’m not so sure about. There are a lot of problems with the Seminoles.They need a fresh start and that all starts with letting their Offensive Coordinator and Head Coach in Waiting actually become the Head Coach. Bobby Bowden is a legend. He built a terrible team into a program that had the most impressive 14 year run in the history of college football and as much as I respect Coach Bowden; it’s time for him to let it go. The ‘Noles need a young, charismatic Head Coach like Jimbo Fisher.</p>
<p>Even if Bowden doesn’t leave after the season, it is likely that Defensive Coordinator Mickey Andrews will, which is probably a good thing for FSU. Andrews and the whole defensive staff need an overhaul. FSU hasn’t had a typical dominating defense in quite some time and currently ranked 115th against the pass. They have no pass rush and their secondary has been awful. At times, their defense looks lost. If Fisher soon becomes the Head coach and is able to put together his own staff, the ‘Noles can potentially get back to where they want to be. Fisher has not proven himself to be the right man for the job yet, but he has showed some positive signs. No one will really know what Fisher can do until he has complete control of the team and is able to make his own decisions about his own coaching staff.</p>
<p>And if that’s not the case, there’s always Brian Kelly…</p>
<p><strong>Performance of the Week</strong></p>
<p>Jeremiah Masoli, QB, Oregon  After being criticized for his disastrous start to the season, the Junior Quarterback silenced his critics. Masoli threw just four incompletions, going 21-25 for 253 with three touchdowns on Saturday. Oregon destroyed 6th ranked Cal 42-3 and Masoli was largely responsible.</p>
<p><em>&#8220;On offense the sky&#8217;s the limit for us,&#8221; Masoli said with confidence. &#8220;We&#8217;re the only ones who can hurt us. These last couple of weeks we&#8217;ve been in a funk, but today we moved past that.&#8221;</em></p>
<p><strong>The Heisman Favorite</strong></p>
<p>Last week, I hopped on the Jahvid Best bandwagon but after his 16-carry, 55-yard performance in a 42-3 loss to Oregon, Best has pretty much lost any hope to take home the hardware. It looks like the two frontrunners remain the same – the 2007 Heisman Trophy winner, Florida QB Tim Tebow and Texas QB, Colt McCoy.</p>
<p>Tebow may have had the flu but he looked like his normal self against Kentucky after a less than average performance against Tennessee. He was 5-10 for just 44 yards and a TD but had 16 carries for 123 yards and 2 TDs before he left the game late in the third quarter after suffering a concussion with a 31-7 lead. Tebow continues to put up pedestrian passing numbers but he continues to run well, rarely turns the ball over and keeps leading his team to victory.</p>
<p>The big question about Tebow this week is why he was in the game in the third quarter with a 24-point lead. A case could be made that the Florida Coach Urban Meyer should have had Tebow out because he was sick. Under normal circumstances, there’s no Head Coach in the country that would have their starting QB out with a 24 point lead in only the third quarter. Hits are put of football and with how often Tebow runs the ball and takes hit, this was bound to happen. It seems like he is fine and will be good to go in the highly anticipated showdown with LSU on October 10.</p>
<p>Colt McCoy has been pretty good as well but could be playing much better. McCoy was 28-35 for 286 yards with 3 TDs in a 64-7 win over Utep on Saturday. He is now 103-145 with 1,145 yards and 9 TDs. He also has rushed for a TD. These are Heisman-like numbers on a top team, but his interception numbers are worrying me. He has thrown at least one interception in each game this season and has five total for the season. Although Tebow is just 44-68 for 643 yards and 6 TDs, his rushing (271 yards, 5 TDs) and his ability to make good decisions (just one interception on an incredible catch by Eric Berry) keeps him atop the list for now. McCoy will have plenty of chances to move back ahead of Tebow and I won’t be surprised if he does.</p>
<p>Last week, I mentioned Jacory Harris as a potential dark horse, but he played himself right out of that (see above).<img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-1800" title="Fresno St Cincinnati  Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/tonypikecelebrates-300x232.jpg" alt="Fresno St Cincinnati  Football" width="300" height="232" /></p>
<p>Houston QB Case Keenum may no longer be a dark horse contender because he has now lead his team to wins over two Big 12 teams – Oklahoma State and Texas Tech. Keenum is 93-134 for 1,160 yards with 8 TDs and 2 INTs. He also has three rushing TDs, giving him more total yards then either Tebow or McCoy and more total TDs then both. He has also thrown just two interceptions and his last touchdown Saturday was a four yard run with :49 left and his team trailing by five.</p>
<p>Cincinnati QB Tony Pike is 93-132 for 1223 yards and 11 TDs with just two interceptions. He also has two rushing TDs . He had lead his team to road wins at Big East rival Rutgers and at Oregon State.</p>
<p>Notre Dame QB Jimmy Clausen played his worst game of the season against Purdue Saturday. He threw his first interception in that game and threw for just 171 yards after passing for 300 or more yards in each of his first three games, but Clausen still hit Kyle Rudolph for the game winning TD with :25 leading Notre Dame to their second straight come from behind win. Clausen is 77-117 with1,122 yards with 10 TDs and one interception.</p>
<p><strong>My Top 15</strong></p>
<p>The more I see out of teams, the more teams I will rank, eventually giving an entire Top 25.</p>
<ol>
<li>Florida</li>
<li>Alabama</li>
<li>Texas</li>
<li>LSU</li>
<li>Boise State</li>
<li>Virginia Tech</li>
<li>Cincinnati</li>
<li>Houston</li>
<li>Oklahoma</li>
<li>USC</li>
<li>Ohio State</li>
<li>TCU</li>
<li>Iowa</li>
<li>Oregon</li>
<li>Oklahoma State</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Game of the Week</strong></p>
<p>LSU @ Georgia</p>
<p>The Line: Georgia -3</p>
<p><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-1801" title="LSU Mississippi St Football" src="http://nflmocks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/lsubeatsmsu-300x278.jpg" alt="LSU Mississippi St Football" width="300" height="278" />In week one, the Dogs looked like they were going to have a lot of trouble on offense after 24-10 loss to Oklahoma State in Stillwater but since then the Dogs have lit up the scoreboard. They scored 41 points against a South Carolina defense that held QB Russell Wilson and NC State to just three points Jevon Snead and Ole Miss to just 10 points. They also scored 52 points at Arkansas before struggling to win 20-17 at home against Arizona State. The Dogs held the Sun Devils to just 204 yards and had 334 yards themselves but had they had three turnovers, including two Joe Cox interceptions that kept the Sun Devils in the game. Luckily for the Dogs, they bounced back and got themselves in position to win the game on a last second field goal. If they make those kind of mistakes against the Tigers, they won’t be so lucky.</p>
<p>LSU also struggled last weekend. Mississippi State had first and goal at the 2 with less than two minutes to play and LSU stopped the Bulldogs all four times, leaving Starkville with a 30-26 victory. LSU didn’t look good at all. The Bulldogs had over 100 more total yards than the Tigers, but committed four turnovers while LSU did not turn the ball over. The Tigers managed just 30 yards rushing – that’s not going to cut it.</p>
<p>If this game becomes another shootout, I think it will favor the Dogs considering they have already beat two pretty good teams in that style of a game. However, I think LSU got a wake-up call last week and will not allow that to happen.</p>
<p>I like LSU in this game. I don’t think that they will be looking ahead to the Florida game and I think their defense is going to force Joe Cox and the Georgia offense into mistakes because of LSU’s ability to shut down the Georgia running game. LSU’s talented WRs should be able to take advantage of these mistakes. Plus, the Tigers have already gone into one hostile environment (Washington) and come out with a victory.</p>
<p><strong>Upset Alert</strong></p>
<p>I was going to take Michigan State over Michigan but then I saw that the Spartans are actually a two-point favorite.</p>
<p>I’m going to put Georgia Tech on upset alert. The Jackets must travel to Starkville to take on Mississippi State. I’m not going to pick the Bulldogs to win the game but their near upset of LSU should give them some confidence against a Tech team that may be looking ahead to their next two games – a game in Tallahassee with the Seminoles and matchup at home against Virginia Tech in two weeks that could put Georgia Tech right back in the mix for an ACC title.</p>
<p>Other Potential Upsets:</p>
<p>UCLA @ Stanford – 5.5</p>
<p>Stanford is coming off a huge win over Washington, but the Bruins have played well. They are 3-0 and have two non-conference BCS wins (@Tennessee, Kansas State).</p>
<p>NC State @ Wake Forest – 2.5 I expect this one to happen. NC State has the more talented team.</p>
<p>USC – 5 @ Cal</p>
<p>Cal is coming off a terrible performance against Oregon by any team going on the road with a freshman Quarterback and a lot of inexperience has the potential to struggle.</p>
<p>(<em>Andrew Melnick is Howard the Dunk&#8217;s lead blogger. Subscribe to his <a href="http://feeds2.feedburner.com/HowardTheDunk" target="_blank">RSS feed</a> and add him on <a href="http://twitter.com/HowardtheDunk" target="_blank">Twitter</a> to follow him daily.</em>)</p>
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