I was on fire in weeks 12 and 13, but really cooled of in week 14, going 5-8 heading into the Sunday and Monday night games.
|Date & Time||Favorite||Spread||Underdog|
|12/15 8:25 ET||At Atlanta||-11||Jacksonville|
|12/17 8:25 ET||Dallas||-6.5||At Tampa Bay|
|12/18 1:00 ET||At NY Giants||-6.5||Washington|
|12/18 1:00 ET||Green Bay||-13.5||At Kansas City|
|12/18 1:00 ET||New Orleans||-7||At Minnesota|
|12/18 1:00 ET||At Chicago||-4||Seattle|
|12/18 1:00 ET||At Buffalo||-1||Miami|
|12/18 1:00 ET||At Houston||-6||Carolina|
|12/18 1:00 ET||Tennessee||-6.5||At Indianapolis|
|12/18 1:00 ET||Cincinnati||-6||At St. Louis|
|12/18 4:05 ET||Detroit||-1||At Oakland|
|12/18 4:15 ET||New England||-6||At Denver|
|12/18 4:15 ET||At Philadelphia||-3||NY Jets|
|12/18 4:15 ET||At Arizona||-6.5||Cleveland|
|12/18 8:30 ET||Baltimore||-2.5||At San Diego|
|12/19 8:35 ET||At San Francisco||-1||Pittsburgh|
Jaguars at Falcons
The Jaguars just laid a whoop down on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. But even though the Falcons are in the same division these two teams are not in the same class. The Falcons are really clicking on all cylinders especially at home. I can’t see Blaine Gabbert traveling up to Atlanta and giving the Falcons a run for their money. I’ll probably be taking the Falcons pretty handidly here 10-13 points for sure, considering they can’t afford a let down with teams yipping at their heels for one of the wild card spots.
Cowboys at Buccaneers
I’ll have to see the line. I can’t believe the Bucs are as bad as they played on Sunday against the Jaguars. The Cowboys have had trouble winning most games this season with a few exceptions (not the Rams game, for instance). I don’t think the Cowboys have done enough to convince me they should be double digit favorites, especially on the road. I’ll have to see where the line is, but I might take Tampa Bay here even though they have been terribly inconsistent, or just plain bad.
Bengals at Rams
The Bengals are seeing the playoffs slipping right through their fingers. This is one of the few “soft spots” on the schedule. They have to bring their A game right? The Rams strength is running the football with Steven Jackson, the Bengals have done a good job most of the year stopping the run. The Bengals also have enough weapon on offense to give the Rams trouble. I’m sensing a big victory here by the Bengals.
Bills at Dolphins
I was dead wrong about the Bills in week 14. I thought they had a puncher’s chance to upset the San Diego Chargers, but they didn’t play very well at all. This game’s line will depend on the availability of Matt Moore who left the game against the Eagles with an injury. IF he’s a no go, it’s down to J.P. Losman and I’ve seen him enough to know that if he’s playing the team should never be favored.
Titans at Colts
The Saints- were somehow able to bottle up Chris Johnson, but the Titans almost beat the Saints. This team (the Titans) has a lot of young talent. I think they’ll beat down the Colts, but their offense isn’t enough for me to take them -10 convincingly or anything. I’ll be leaning towards the Titans but I have to see the line. The Colts theoratically should be playing really hard these last few weeks to not go defeated. How the mighty have fallen.
Redskins at Giants
Saints at Vikings
This will be a blow-out. If Joe Webb or Christian Ponder is starting it doesn’t matter. The Saints aren’t as good on the road, but I don’t think that will apply to on the road in a dome. Greg Williams also will blitz, blitz, blitz some more which isn’t going to be a fun night for Webb or Ponder.
Packers at Chiefs
This should also be a blowout. Nearly every week the Packers cover the huge spread, regardloess of how large it is.I wouldn’t be surprised if this line opened up at 20, and I might take the Packers that high.
Panthers at Texans
I love the Panthers all season as underdogs. If this line is Panthers -5 or higher I’m taking the Panthers unless some unforseen injuries pop up. The Texans continue to win despite their injuries and I think that the Texans will score a good amount of points on the Panthers who have struggled to stop the run, but I love the Panthers as underdogs.
Seahawks at Bears
I think the Seahawks are an under-rated team. They are better than people think they are. The Bears season is sprialing out of control. I don’t know if I’d pick the Seahawks to win outright, especially traveling (I’d probably pick them outright at home), but I’m not comftorable with the Bears covering many points. This should be a really low scoring game, I think as well. I’d tak ea low under, I’ll be interested to see what the over/under opens up at for this game.
Lions at Raiders
Raiders suck, but sometimes they are awesome. Who knows? This IS THE playoff game of the week. I think whatever team loses this game is probably not making the playoffs. The Raiders seem to do better at home than they do on the road and Darren Mcfadden might return here.
Jets at Eagles
Well I guess this is a big game too. The Jets are surging here and I think they’ll make the playoffs, but they can’t afford a loss here. If the Jets lose here they could miss the playoffs. They travel or stay home or whatever they do, they play the Giants in Jersey on Christmas eve. Luckily for the Jets, the Titans, Raiders and Bengals all lost on Sunday thrusting them ahead in the playoff race.
Browns at Cardinals
The Cardinals will be favored by three to five points here and they should be. The Browns aren’t very good and the Cardinals are playing much better football the last month. I like the Cardinals here. Their defense is really coming together and I don’t think the Browns can score many points on them.
Patriots at Broncos
Do I dare go against Tim Tebow here? Siding with Tebow has worked out well for me. I’m not sure how the Broncos match up with the Patriots here though. The Patriots are awful against the Pass, but how will they fare against a mostly run team? I’ll have to see the line. I imagine the Patriots will be favored here, but by how much? 5 points? a touchdown?
Ravens at Chargers
Just based on how things are shaping up the Chargers actually have an outside chance of making the playoffs if they win out. This is their biggest challenge remaining on the schedule. The Ravens also want this game because the Ravens, Texans, Patriots, and Steelers are all battling for the first round bye.
Steelers at 49ers
There are some exciting games in this docket. This game is going to be the hardest hitting, most defensive orientated. The 49ers are at home which will help them, but I think the Steelers have much more variety in their offense which should make them the favorites in this game.
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