NFL Mocks Picks vs the Spread Week 14

Updated  11/8/2011

Steelers Browns pick locked in. Lines updated for Thursday Morning

Browns at Steelers

The Browns will be traveling out to Pittsburgh, who is heating up a bit. I think with the playoffs in sight the Steeelrs will continue to ratched it up a bit. I feel comftorable taking the Steelers in double digits here depending on where the line goes we’ll see what the pick is
The line got a little too high for my liking. I’m going to take the Browns to stay within 14 points, I know that a lot of bad teams this time of year fold, but Colt McCoy could be playing for his future so I expect him to try hard, plus I don’t like giving so many points in a division rivalry game. With both Big Ben and Antonio Brown on my fantasy team I’m hoping for a lot of points so the Steelers will keep throwing!  Browns to cover the 14 poits.

Patriots at Redskins

I have a theory about the Jets. The Jets talk so much that they annoy everyone and get everyone’s best shot. The Patriots on the other hand go about their own business and just win games. The Patriots will also run up scores, the Redskins have been playing much better the last few weeks, but Fred Davis and Trent Williams are likely to be suspended and the Patriots should be able to move teh ball on the Redskins pretty good defense.

I’ll be comftorable taking the Patriots as heavy favorites here as well.

The Chiefs at Jets

The Chiefs offense is awful. If Kyle Orton can’t play I’m not taking the Chiefs for anything less than two touchdowns. They just don’t match up well with the Jets. I think the Jets are going to luck into the playoffs again this year. Tim Tebow just wins games, but somehow so does Mark Sanchez. It’s really remarkable.

Colts at Ravens

The Colts have some pride which is why I felt very comftorable taking them as 21 point underdogs against the Patriots, but if it’s like 14 points I’ll be taking the Ravens. Ray Rice is going to give the Colts more than they can handle. Dan Orlosky had a big game against the Patriots, but the Ravens defense is a class up above the Patriots defense.

Falcons at Panthers

he Falcons really need this game to stay in the playoff hunt and Cam Newton as the Panthers playing hard. I think the Falcons should win the game, but I’ve taken the Panthers as underdogs almost every single time they were underdogs this season and it’s worked out well for me. If the line is anything like the Falcons at -5 I’ll be picking the Panthers who I think have a decent shot of winning this game. If the Falcons are minus three that’s going to be a little tougher decision for me.

Buccaneers at Jaguars

oh what a terrible non-divisional game that is. No idea what to do here. I’ll probably favor the Buccaneers, but yuck, especially if they are getting any points.

Saints at Titans

This is an intriguing game for me. The Titans have a young defense that is improving  and Chris Johnson is heating up. The Saints beat down everyone, but away from home I like the Titans to cover anything higher than 7. I keep saying I won’t pick the Titans again because of how inconsistent they have been, but every week I get suckered in by their allure.

Eagles at Dolphins

The Eagles have nothing to play for but pride. The Dolphins are really playing hard lately. I can’t see the Dolphins losing this game unless the Eagles really step it up. I think the Eagles will play hard against the Cowboys later in the year and probably the Jets as well, but will they get up for the lowly Dolphins?

Vikings at Lions

Vikings had an offensive explosion on Sunday against the Broncos defense and the Lions will again be without Mr. Suhso this is a tough call. I think the Lions will desperately try to win this game because they are clinging on for dear live for the playoffs (assuming they lose to the Saints here: down 24 to 17 at the start of the fourth quarter). But I can’t trust them big, especially if Adrian Peterson is going to play. The Vikings aren’t great, but they are playing really hard for their rookie quarterback Christian Ponder and Jared Allen could wreck the game by himself.

49ers at Cardinals

The Cardinals have kept a lot of teams close and I wouldn’t expect anything different here against the 49ers who are coming off a beat down of the St. Louis Rams. Still the 49ers should be favored even though they are in Arizona. I’d fell pretty good about Arizona if they are getting four or more points.

Bears at Broncos

I can’t envision any scenario in which the Bears win this game especially if Von Miller is healthy. The Bears looked terrible against the Chiefs at home, they are not going out to Denver and winning this game without Cutler and Forte.

Raiders at Packers

I pick the Raiders a lot because I’m an idiot. They are so disappointing. They can’t travel well or something. The Raiders are letting the playoffs slipping through their hand. If the Packers aren’t playing the Giants they cover the spread no matter how large. That’s probably the way I’ll look at it this week on top of that the Packers have been awe-inspiring at home.

Bills at Chargers

This game is intriguing to me. I think the Bills actually match up well with the Chargers who have struggle  to cover anybody. ON top of that the Bills have the potential to make big time plays on special teams. The Bills also struggle against the run and the Chargers run the ball well, but get away from it a lot too. I’ll have to see the line. I’m not sure I’d pick the Bills to lose by less than three, but if they are plus 5 or so I like them a lot.

Giants at Cowboys

if the Giants play the same way they did against the Packers they should beat the Cowboys. If they play the same way they did against the Eagles and saints they could lose handily. I have no idea what to think of this game. I’ll have to watch the injury report throughout the week.My gut feeling is the game will be very close.

Rams at Seahawks

the question isn’t whether or not the Seahawks should win this game. It’s how many points are you willing to give Tavaris Jackson? The Seahawks should be able to run a lot on the Rams though and I think I like them to beat the Rams by 7 points, but would i be willing to give them more